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past short term calls follow-up/performance***(stocks to watch)

date,stock,reco price,high,% gain at high

***all analysis are based on self chart study only, actual trading gains may vary.
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    Tuesday, October 19, 2010

    mkt ahead...20th oct 2010...

    much needed profit booking may have begun...more later...

    evening update:

    refer to the 20th sep 2010 technical outlook,"the upwardly sloping trend channel which the nifty was following for quite a while has a width of 660 points and the channel was broken on the upperside near 5600. so the tgt around 5600+660=6260."

    accordingly, the nifty reached my above mentioned tgt 6260 and slightly more i.e 6284.10 and soon faced the profit booking and started its near term downtrend.


    the nifty has closed below an imp 6050 lvl which was to be a tsl for short term positional long positions. therefore likelihood that in coming days there could be further fall with intermediate pullbacks/bounces.

    it may also be good news that profit booking seems to be happening ahead of the big ipo's and oct being a caution month many times, which may give a good opportunity to the investors who were anxiously waiting on sidelines, if it slides further, to enter into buying stocks. seems that final intermediate to long term upward tgts may be much higher than the latest high if the result season also goes well. technically we can see some lvls but will not be appropriate to post now.

    likelihood of an initial shallow correction upto 5800/5600(channel breakout lvl) cannot be ruled out. at any point the correction ends will be known and perhaps might be update here.

    (read discl given above)

    6 comments:

    Sujatha said...

    Hi abhay,

    Yes, read ur last post, always "no Q" further, hence didn't post anything.

    Good right up at the right time as usual :) If falls comes OK, If this "october" ulta hogaya toh?? just a wild guess..as u said ,it may drag now and during "diwali" they may bring up again??? i like that "much higher than the latest high" will buy @ lower level and can sit tight.

    have a great day.

    abhay r somkuwar said...

    seems more like a sideways than a steeper correction now, maybe due to buying interest from fii's into some good counters, more people waiting to buy on dips, and a deep cut is not happening:)

    Sujatha said...

    Abhay, Nifty bachgaya from 5937??? is it a "dead cat bounce"? i am looking for your nice "shallow correction upto 5800/5600" . If 6151 not taken out, still this 5800 levels valid??

    abhay r somkuwar said...

    sujatha, yes so far still a sideways down...till 6152 is not taken out

    Sujatha said...

    WISH YOU AND YOUR FAMILY A VERY HAPPY DIWALI.

    today it has taken out .. shall we take it as "false breakout" if EOD close below it.

    thanks in advance.

    abhay r somkuwar said...

    sujatha, views updated in today's post.

    thanks for the wishes. a very happy and prosperous diwali/new year to u too.

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