in the last post on my ew analysis i had said, "on our ew counts, for the terminal impulse C of C-4, 3 waves seems completed and today and a couple of days were expected to be down days((4) of C of C-4) upto eod trendline, followed by an upmove."
And it happened exactly, nifty fell from start and bounced off at 2812 from the eod trendline as mentioned, thereby marking the completion of 3rd and 4th waves of my terminal impluse C of C-4 wave scenario.
the 5th up of C of C-4 started from 2812 with a tgt marked by ellipse possibly on the upward sloping green trendline above 2950 as shown on the chart above.
even if it exceeds 3000 by 50 odd points it will still be a great positional shorting opportunity. so bears will get a big chance to short the nifty(and many stocks like l&t and icicibank etc) positionally at those lvls in a couple of days. safe traders can wait till break on closing basis of lower green eod trendline shown above.
first tgt will be 260 points from brk of lower green tline, second tgt could be 2570-2500. further tgts like 2000-2200 etc can be worked out on the downside but not to forget that currently nifty is in uptrend, let it first show this bearishness then short, caution on longs is advised going forward next couple of sessions.
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Sunday, December 14, 2008
update on my ew analysis(wave 4 scenario)...
Posted by abhay r somkuwar at 12:12 PM
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10 comments:
abhay sir thank you for reply for me and also thanks for ilango sir for his ?
me also cleared about your exposure
abhay-G post your email id in this comment
karuppannan its abhay_somkuwar@hotmail.com, regards.
thank you check mail
ab sir this c wave of 4th started from 2502 so
wave 1 2502-2831=327pts
wave2 2831-2702
wave3 2702-2944=242 pts
wave4 2944-2812
so now wave 5 cant go beyond 3054 i.e 2812+242=3054 (as 3rd wave cant be shortest)
am i right or wrong plz tell.
Regards
sir plz try n reply before todays close.
Regards
ab sir still waiting for your reply.
Regards
meet, so far i considered the move from 2503 as terminal impulse or ending diagonal, in this 5 wave pattern wave 1 is largest and wave 5 shortest, if any change is reqd in wave counts then i will update in post.
regards.
ab sir after looking at todays nifty movement does your assumption of ending diagonal still holds as price wise 5th has become equal to 3rd,so sir if any change in your ew count plz try n post the same before market opens tommorow.
Regards
meet
Hi Abhay, that was a nice explanation, on sunday when i discussed with Atul, he also gave me probabale scene like urs, but of course level to watch was 3011 and lolz in 2nd half it cut as easily like a knife thru butter, keep posting buddy, ur Balbirsingh pattern is also tooo good, bye
By the way that was my Gmail ID,
have a nice time ,
GG
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